(Take them for what they are worth, which is not much)
Environmental Predictions: Global warming which is now called Climate Change is found to be a widespread hoax. Disregarding actual scientific data led to many scientists and their political supporters to lose creditability with the public and thus their funding dried up. There will be 7– 12 named tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2009. Four of these will become major storms with winds of 150 mph or more. Expectations of 8% less-than-normal of tropical storm landfall with significant damage, however the storms that do make landfall will be catastrophic.
Earthquakes will become deadlier. These future deadly earthquakes won’t be more powerful, but they will kill more people simply because there will be more people to kill, particularly in the world’s largest cities. Earthquakes in California and Alaska will cause hundreds of millions in damage. Earthquakes in China, a will displace 100,000′s during 2009.
The drought in the southwest USA is slowly beginning to ease. The lack of rainfall will not be made up for five years. Snow pack in the Rockies and Sierra Nevada’s will be above normal in 2009, and ski season will last until June in certain skiing areas. Because of the increasing moisture in the atmosphere and rapid changes in the storm track, look for additional lightening strikes and tornado activity into OK, KS, NB.
Economic predictions: The recession will continue through mid summer when seasonal hiring and vacation purchases will bring the flow of money back toward normal. Congress will pass a series of regulations for investment and financial organizations which will look good on the surface, but have no enforcement. Corporate blogs will continue to proliferate, although there may be more controversy to come in this area (think sensitive information leaked on corporate blogs). Google will continue to push the boundaries of browser-based apps. There will be moves toward an Amazon-like web services stack from other players, particularly Google. And where Google goes, you can expect Microsoft to go too. Internet-based TV will ramp up in 2009, thanks to products like YouTube/Google Video. Also we’ll see more of Interactive TV (iTV etc). Virtual Money: Paypal showed the way. Investigators from Homeland Security will find that much of the fluctuations in the stock market were the result of a conspiracy between China and Arab money markets.
Political predictions: President Obama will find that getting the troops out of Iraq is easier said than done. Because of the down turn in the economy and increasing unemployment, young people will become even more serious about joining the military. Investigators will discover wide spread political corruption concerning campaign contributions from foreign companies and countries. Because it involves Democrats and Republicans there will be only token prosecution of junior political operatives. With the presidency and congress now in Democrat hands, look for more emphasis on domestic policy and less emphasis on foreign entanglements. The executive branch will not undertake any more adventuristic moves outside of Iraq and Afghanistan as they know there will be little support from the public. Two members of the Supreme Court will resign and the political fight to replace them will result in the next big issue for the 2010 interim election.
General Predictions: More and more young people are going to begin spending their spring breaks doing “good” – whether it’s volunteering locally or traveling globally. Church groups will lead this trend by sending groups to south Texas and Central America during spring break and the summer break. Less teens will start (and then quickly abandon blogs). Competitors will take a bite out of MySpace’s dominance with teens (they already have, especially Facebook). The ongoing media coverage of predators, drugs, gangs, crime, etc. on MySpace will drive some teens to look for alternatives. China based hacker attacks on western nation’s economic and defense computers will lead to a backlash led by European nations who will confront Chinese leaders with the evidence of their complicity.
Entertainment Predictions: On Feb 9 when all broadcast TV will convert to digital, many viewers will not be ready and there will be a loud outcry for a later date of conversion. Over 50% of the country will have a flat screen TV by the end of 2009. Broad band internet service will become very affordable to the general public in the next two years as the same firms that offer satellite radio will also offer internet service. This will compete with with DSL and cable service. Internet shopping will begin to have such an effect on shopping malls that their development and construction will virtually come to a halt by 2010. The only way the impact of the internet will be thwarted will be when this service is taxed (locally, state, nationally). This will result in one of the major issues for the 2010 elections.
Pay-per-view programming will increase. Reality TV will go one step farther as a pay-per-view channel will be designed to follow a family 24/7 (in and out of the bedroom and bathroom). Later it will be found that the actions of the family was scripted. No one seems to care as the ratings of this show remain high.
NASCAR will consider restricting it’s top three races to pay-per-view. Although many people will pay for this service, it will signal a downturn of the racing company’s popularity as most race fans see racing on Free TV as a right. The Super bowl will go pay-per-view on the new NFL network by 2010.
Wrestling’s top rated “good guy” wrestler will meet the top rated “bad guy wrestler” in a pay-per-view event which was built up over a six month period. The “good guy” will lose his title through flagrant cheating by the bad guy, and a grudge rematch will be arranged for another pay-per-view.
Nuff Said,
Larry C. Ingram, ME, USN-Ret